by Angus Campbell,Senior Analyst November 25,2014@8:07 UTC Daily Forex Outlook http://www.fxpro.cn/news/daily-forex-brief/20141125/ouyuan-fantan-yexu-zhengzha-qianxing Yesterday showed how good old fashioned support and resistance levels should always be closely watched as EURUSD bounced off the 1.2360 level for the second time of the month.EURUSD remains a well sold currency pair(even over half of FxPro’s client positions are short according to our dashboard,at the time of writing)and is susceptible to squeezes higher so when you get a piece of data like Germany’s better than expected Ifo business climate and last week’s ZEW,you can see the Euro receive a bit of a bid.This morning we’ve already seen German GDP released in line at 1.2%,so no hocks to the downside,but doesn’t seem quite enough to challenge the longer term downtrend for EURUSD which still looks very much in place unless we see a concerted move back above the 1.2600 level.
昨天的情况告诉我们，那些久经考验的支撑线和阻力线多么值得紧密关注，理由就是欧元美元这个月第二次突破了1.2360这个水平。欧元美元一直都是卖得不错的一个货币对（此文写作时，从我们的数据统计来看，FxPro客户的仓位超过一半都在做空），而且容易受到走高的影响。因此，如果你看到数据方面的好消息，比如德国超出预期的Ifo和ZEW，基本上欧元就会出现一些竞买趋势。今天上午，德国发布的GDP就和预期一致，为1.2%，没有下行压力；不过这种好消息还无法挑战长期以来欧元美元的下行趋势；这个趋势依然存在，除非这个货币对能集体回到1.2600这个水平之上。
From the US today we see GDP data and consumer confidence which are just two of many data releases packed in ahead of North America’s shortened week as they shut up shop on Thursday and Friday for Thanksgiving.We’ve seen the GDP data before in the first reading which is due to be revised a little lower,so the focus is likely to be more on the consumer confidence,expected to rise to a seven year high to 96.0,up from 94.5.This has the potential to give USD yet another leg higher,in particular against the low yielders like JPY,EUR and SEK.
今天美国有GDP和消费者信心数据，不过这两个数据仅仅是一大波发布数据中的两个，都是赶在北美放假之前发布的：原因就是周四和周五是感恩节。这个GDP数据我们以前就见过首次数据发布，可能会被调低一点；所以我们现在关注的焦点就转到消费者信心数据上；这个数据可能从94.5上涨到96.0，也是七年以来的高点。这个情况有可能让美元走高，特别是在针对那些收益较低的货币，比如：日元，欧元和瑞典克朗。
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