隔夜的交易市场由走强的澳元和纽元以及走软的日元带动。澳元和纽元（兑美元）成为十国集团货币中最大的赢家。澳大利亚在第二季度录得2.6％的同比增长值，高于预估的2.4％。澳元兑美元反弹至0.9106，澳元兑纽元上扬至1.1660（创7月18日以来的最高水平）。日元兑澳元录得最大跌幅0.69％。
有消息称，日本央行将考虑采取额外的货币宽松政策，可能会在2014年4月（预定时间）上调销售税。该消息使美元兑日元和日元交叉盘在东京市场获得良好的买入状况。美元兑日元上涨至99.80。来自日本出口商和期权市场的卖出价见于100.00之前，而买入价稳定于99.31（一目均衡云底）和99.00 。
在中国，汇丰/Markit服务业PMI显示服务业在8月出现更快的扩张。上证综指上扬至2,121.68，而恒生指数在创下22,438.40高水平之后开始回吐涨幅。亚洲新兴经济体在这整个一周都表现得比较疲弱，主因是担忧叙利亚的地缘政治紧张局势。菲律宾种股票指数下跌1.75％，雅加达综合指数下跌1.98％。
据世界经济论坛称，尽管瑞郎强劲，但瑞士还是保持了其“最具竞争力的经济体”地位。瑞士第二季度GDP同比增长2.5％，利好消息引发瑞郎下滑。美元兑瑞郎上涨至0.9383，欧元兑瑞郎于1.22800-1.23000区间内发现买入兴趣。只要避险货币的风险偏好情绪在外汇交易中保持合理状态，瑞郎的趋势和势头指标就会继续表现积极。
欧元扩大跌幅。欧元兑美元昨天在纽约市场中触及1.3139，之后在亚洲市场中，其200日移动均线上的买入价将其拉回1.3150。欧元兑日元的大量需求以及叙利亚担忧引发的获利回吐也是帮助欧元兑美元反弹的因素之一。预计欧元会继续疲软，直至明日欧洲央行释放政策决定以及欧洲央行行长发表公开讲话。大量欧元到期价见于1.3125-50，期权投注价位于该区间下方。在上行路上，阻力位处于1.3300-10（21日移动均线）空间内，而1.3400-20区间内的卖盘兴趣依然紧张。
英镑兑美元隔夜变化不大，交投空间为1.5555-68。我们密切监测200日移动均线（1.5500） ，同时预计多头将继续占据上风，直至英国央行明日释放政策决定。
印尼盾兑美元创下2009年4月以来的最低水平，而美元兑土耳其里拉也回落至历史低点，这主要是因为8月通胀率不如预期中值。由于经常帐赤字从300亿美元扩大至359亿美元，土耳其经济部长恰拉扬警告称，预计这个缺口在2013年可能超过617亿美元。对土耳其来说，这些消息都是不利消息。
今天，市场将重点关注：瑞典、西班牙、意大利、德国、英国以及欧元区的服务业PMI和欧元区8月综合PMI；欧元区第二季度（初步值）GDP季率和年率、家庭消费支出、固定资本形成总额及政府支出；欧元区7月零售销售月率和年率；美国8月30日MBA抵押贷款申请数；加拿大7月国际商品贸易‘美国7月贸易收支；美国8月ISM纽约和美国联邦储备委员会褐皮书。
The overnight trading session was driven by the stronger Antipodeans and the weaker Yen. AUD and NZD were the biggest G10 winners against the US dollar. Australia printed 2.6% year-on-year growth in the second quarter, outpacing the estimations of 2.4%. The Aussie rallied to 0.9106 versus USD and to 1.1660 versus NZD (highest since July 18th). JPY recorded the biggest loss of 0.69% versus AUD.
USDJPY and JPY crosses were well bid in Tokyo on the news that BoJ would consider additional monetary easing in case of a sales tax hike in April 2014 (as scheduled). USDJPY rallied to 99.80. Offers from Japanese exporters and option markets are seen pre-100.00, yet bids are solid at 99.31 (Ichimoku cloud base) & 99.00.
In China, HSBC/Markit Services PMI showed faster expansion in August. Shanghai’s Composite traded to 2,121.68, while Hang Seng index hit 22,438.40 before paring gains later in the session. The anxiety on geopolitical jitters in Syria is felt through the weak performances in emerging Asia. Philippine stock index lost 1.75%, Jakarta’s Composite fell 1.98%.
According to World Economic Forum, Switzerland keeps the status of the most competitive economy despite the strength in CHF. Swiss GDP grew 2.5% YoY in the second quarter and the Franc was sold on good news. USDCHF surged to 0.9383, EURCHF saw buying interest at 1.22800/1.23000. Trend momentum in Franc crosses is positive as long as the risk appetite for safe haven currencies remains reasonable in the fx trading.
Euro broadens weakness. EURUSD hit the 1.3139 in New York yesterday yet bids from 200-dayMA pulled the cross back above 1.3150 in Asia. Decent demand in EURJPY and profit taking on Syrian fears helped. The weakness is expected to remain ahead of the ECB policy verdict and President Draghi’s speech tomorrow. Large euro put expiries are seen at 1.3125/50, option bets are mixed below. On the topside, resistance is placed at 1.3300/10 (21-dayMA), while the selling interest remains tight at 1.3400/20.
Little changed, GBPUSD range-traded between 1.5555/68 overnight. We closely monitor the 200-dayMA (1.5500) while expecting the bulls to remain in charge ahead of the BoE policy verdict due tomorrow.
Else, the IDR hit its lowest versus USD since April 2009, while TRY fell back to the historical lows after the inflation came in worse than expected in August. As the current account gap advanced from USD 30bn to USD 35.9bn, the Economy Minister Caglayan warned that the shortfall may exceed USD 61.7bn forecasted in 2013. Bad news for Turkey.
Today, the focus is on Swedish, Spanish, Italian, German, UK and Euro-zone PMI Services and Euro-Zone August PMI Composite, Euro-Zone 2Q (Prelim) GDP SA q/q & y/y, Household Consumption, Gross Fix Capital and Government Expenditure, Euro-Zone July Retail Sales m/m & y/y, US August 30th MBA Mortgage Applications, Canadian July International Merchandise Trade, US July Trade Balance, August ISM New York and US Federal Reserve Beige Book.
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