In response to yesterday’s Outlook question,the answer is yes and in some style.The US not only recouped its growth losses for Q1 by showing Q2 growth was 4%,but the decline in Q1 was revised upwards.Unsurprisingly,the dollar surged on the news sending all the major pairs lower and USDJPY spiked getting over 103.00 briefly.
回答一下昨天Outlook中的问题，答案就是“是的”。而且，美国不仅弥补了第一季度的损失，第二季度的增长还达到了4%。不过第一季度的下跌幅度被修正，没有以前那么大。不出所料，新闻一出，美元上升；所有主要货币对都走低；美元日元上升到了103.00之上。
Overnight UK consumer confidence fell for the first time in six months which is keeping the lid on any GBPUSD bounce.The dollar softened a little following the FOMC rate decision which saw a further$10 billion reduction in asset purchases but this didn’t last long as the first hawkish dissenter argued against saying“that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the current target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time after the asset purchase program ends”.It looks like dollar weakness will be hard to come by in the coming weeks,certainly for the remainder of this one as we see tomorrow’s nonfarm payroll due to show 233k new jobs.
昨天英国的消费信心六个月以来第一次下降，压制住了英镑美元的上涨趋势。FOMC的利率决定出台，将资产购买进一步减少了100亿美元。美元因此稍稍疲软。不过这种情况没有持续太久，因为第一个强硬派异见者争辩说，“资产购买计划结束后，有必要在相当长的一段时间内将联邦基金利率维持在当前的目标范围之内”。看起来未来几周内美元要疲软是比较困难的。提到这个是因为明天的非农就业数据可能显示出增加了23万3千个新职位。
Ahead of tomorrow though,today is a little quieter,but we get Eurozone inflation this morning due to come in at 0.5%.EURUSD has found a little support around 1.3370 overnight but to keep that level in tact we would need to see a higher inflation print which is unlikely given the state the Eurozone economy still finds itself in.Scrutiny will also be given to the weekly jobless numbers as last week they dipped below the 300k mark dragging the 3 month average even lower.Today’s number is due to come in at 301k.Later there the Chicago PMI which can also prove to be a market mover,so anything above 63.0 should fuel the dollar bulls further.
今天到目前为止，情况比较稳定。不过今天上午的欧元区通胀数据可能会上升0.5%左右。昨天欧元美元在1.3370这个位置得到了一点支撑力，不过要维持现状，通胀数据还需要多上升一点点；但现实是这不太可能。原因就是欧元区经济已经深陷麻烦之中。我们还要仔细审视每周的失业数据，因为上周这个数据跌到了30万以下，将三个月的均值拉得更低。今天的数据可能会是30万1千。然后还有芝加哥PMI数据，也可能对市场造成一定影响；如果高于63.0，美元多头将更加得力。
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