22/08/13@ 08:23 GMT by Simon Smith, Chief Economist

　　http://www.fxpro.cn/news/daily-forex-brief/20130822/shiji-wenti

　　Data/Event Risks

　　数据／事件风险

　　EUR:The preliminary PMI data will be scanned for signs of further recovery in the Eurozone, especially in the periphery where some tentative signs of life have been seen in recent data. Stronger readings (especially in Spain and Italy) could give small lift for the single currency.

　　USD:As always, weekly claims in focus as the labour market remains the lynch-pin on which September tapering could be decided as the market is not yet totally convinced of Fed going down this path at this time.

　　欧元：初步的PMI 数据将会被仔细研究以期发现其中欧元区出现进一步恢复的迹象，特别是最近的数据表明外围区域出现了一些试探性的迹象。如果数据走强（特别是西班牙和意大利的数据）可能给欧元带来小幅提振。

　　美元：一如既往，每周失业救济申请仍是焦点，因为劳动市场则是决策九月紧缩的关键，因为市场还没有完全确信目前美联储是否沿着这条路走下去。

　　Idea of the Day

　　今日看法

　　Last night’s July FOMC meeting minutes did little to provide guidance for the markets and the questions around the timing and size of Fed tapering remain. Timing remains the crucial focus for the markets and the consensus expects to see a reduction in central bank bond purchases sooner rather than later. This concept has kept the Dollar trading with a bid tone during the Asian session. Focus on the Eurozone PMI numbers are likely to dictate the next move, weaker numbers will likely see further pressure on EURUSD.

　　昨天晚上，七月份联邦公开市场委员会的会议纪要几乎没能给市场提供指导，而留给我们的问题则是美联储紧缩计划的时机和大小。对于市场来说关键的焦点是时机，而大家的共识就是或早或晚能见到央行债券购买的减少。这种想法让亚洲盘口的美元交易出现一种竞价趋势。而对于欧元区PMI 数字的关注也可能决定下一步的行动，数据疲软的话可能给欧元美元以进一步的压力。

　　Latest FX News

　　最新外汇新闻

　　JPY: JPY has traded modestly lower overnight with USDJPY pushing above 98 and holding its ground into the European open. The BOJ suggesting a willingness to provide additional stimulus should the economic recovery falter.

　　AUD:AUD remains on the ropes trading to a low of 0.8932 overnight but recovered on a better than expected China PMI Flash Estimate which came in at 50.1 (previously 47.7).

　　GBP:Sterling’s post FOMC move has largely been in line with the wider Dollar move and with no significant UK data today this is set to continue. Early European trading sees an attempt on the 1.5580 support level. A break here could see an attempt on the more crucial 1.5530 level.

　　日元：前一天日元小幅走低，而美元日元推到98以上，并在欧洲开盘时守住了阵地。日本银行说愿意提供更多刺激，如果经济恢复退潮的话。

　　澳元：澳元还在走钢丝，前一天达到0.8932的低点，不过随着中国的PMI 初步估计值达到50.1（此前为47.7），澳元开始恢复，比预期要好。

　　英镑：联邦公开市场委员会发布会议纪要后，英镑的举动大致和美元一致。而今天英国没什么数据发布，英镑将延续今天的趋势。欧洲盘口早些时候尝试突破1.5580这个支持点。如果突破的话，可能会继续冲击1.5530。

　　FX Alerts

　　FRENCH FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI AT 49.7

　　法国制造业PMI 初值为49.7

　　22/08/13@ 07:04 GMT by FxPro Dealing Desk

　　http://www.fxpro.cn/news/forex-news/20130822/faguo-zhizaoye-pmi-chuzhi-497

　　French Flash Manufacturing PMI at 49.7 (actual) vs 50.3 (forecast);

　　法国的制造业PMI 实际初值为49.7，而预测是50.3

　　FX Alerts

　　GERMAN FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI AT 52.0

　　德国制造业PMI 初值为52.0

　　22/08/13@ 07:32 GMT by FxPro Dealing Desk

　　http://www.fxpro.cn/news/forex-news/20130822/deguo-zhizaoye-pmi-chuzhi-520

　　German Flash Manufacturing PMI at 52.0 (actual) vs 51.2 (forecast);

　　EURUSD up 20 pips; Currently trading at 1.3350;

　　德国的制造业PMI 实际初值为52.0，而预测是51.2

　　欧元美元上升了20个pip，目前在1.3350处

　　FX Alerts

　　USD UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS AT 336K

　　美国失业申请为33万6千

　　22/08/13@ 12:35 GMT by FxPro Dealing Desk

　　http://www.fxpro.cn/news/forex-news/20130822/meiguo-shiyejiuji-shenqing-33wan6qian

　　USD Unemployment Claims at 336k (actual) vs 330K (forecast);

　　EURUSD currently trading at 1.3323;

　　美国失业救济申请为33万6千，预测值为33万

　　欧元美元目前位于1.3323处