美元走软是本交易周最后一天的主要议题。华尔街日报记者希尔森拉特的鸽派言论给外汇市场昨日在纽约的表现带来了压力，其表示美联储在其7月30-31日的FOMC会议上将会继续每月购买价值850亿美元的债券，同时调低失业率目标并设置新的通胀门槛。此外，美国已公布了疲软的6月耐用品订单数据和令人失望的上周首次申请失业救济人数。

　　尽管6月通胀有所改善，但美元兑日元和日元交叉盘还是全面走软。日本全国CPI从-0.3％上扬至0.2％，东京物价从0.0％飙升至0.4％。日本财务大臣麻生太郎暗示，将在第二季度GDP向下修正后就销售税作决定，理由是物价趋于2％的央行目标。消息释放后，美元兑日元下跌至98.63，日云顶水平上的买盘打破了下行反弹趋势，使欧元兑日元触及131.00。日经股市下跌3％，而日本10年期政府债券收益率从0.80％上回落。

　　美元普跌使得澳元从昨日的低价位0.9129上恢复，并在悉尼市场中反弹至0.9276。卖盘见于0.9300-20区域之前，而FOMC会议召开之前的头寸调整很可能会将卖盘提升至0.9350-0.9400区域。

　　昨日，欧元兑美元迅速打破了7月15日以来充满较高最高价和较低最低价的看涨格局，今天早上因全球美元需求而触及1.3166。欧元多头凭借稳固上扬势头重新受宠，在纽约市场因希尔森拉特的言论而加快了上扬步伐。欧元兑美元已创下近一个月以来的新高，大量卖盘在1.3300-10区域露营，而FOMC会议召开（下周三）之前的定位很可能会推动该货币对继续上扬至1.3400。

　　虽然GDP释放后所触发的英镑多头受到了昨天上午早些时候美元需求的影响，但后期走势逆转还是相当有利可图，英镑兑美元在纽约市场已攀升至1.5435。英镑兑美元在1.5375上方整合涨幅，而积极情绪很有可能会巩固FOMC会议召开前的英镑多头。

　　本周五，市场重点关注德国进口价格指数月率和年率、法国7月消费者信心指数、瑞典6月贸易收支以及和美国7月（终值）密西根大学消费者信心指数。

　　US dollar weakness is the main topic at the last day of trading this week. WSJ Federal Reserve reporter Hilsenrath’s dovish article squeezed the fx markets in New York yesterday as he said Fed will continue to buy USD 85bn worth bonds on monthly basis, with lower unemployment target and new inflation threshold at July 30/31th FOMC meeting. In addition, US announced weak durable goods orders data in June and disappointing progress in weekly jobless claims.

　　USDJPY and JPY crosses were offered across the board despite improvement in inflation in June. Nationwide CPI advanced from -0.3% to 0.2%, while prices in Tokyo surged from 0.0% to 0.4%. Japanese FinMin Aso hinted of decision on sales tax after Q2 GDP revision in fall as the progress in prices tends towards 2% BoJ target. USDJPY fell to 98.63, with bids at the daily cloud top breaking the downside rally, EURJPY hit 131.00. Nikkei stocks dropped 3%, while Japan 10-year government bond yields eased from 0.80%.

　　On broad based USD unwind, the Aussie recovered from 0.9129 hit yesterday and rallied to 0.9276 in Sydney. Offers are seen pre-0.9300/20, while the position adjustments pre-FOMC meeting is likely to lift the offers to 0.9350/0.9400 area.

　　Yesterday, EURUSD shortly broke the higher-highs-higher-lows bullish pattern building since July 15th, by hitting 1.3166 on global USD-demand in the morning. Euro-bulls came back in demand on solid upside momentum and gathered pace post-Hilsenrath in New York. EURUSD advanced to a month high with offers camping at about 1.3300/10 area, while pre-FOMC positioning is likely to push the pair towards 1.3400 through Wednesday next week.

　　Whilst the post-GDP sterling-longs got choked by the early USD demand yesterday morning, the later trend reversal was rather profitable for GBPUSD climbing to 1.5435 in New York. GBPUSD consolidated gains above 1.5375, with positive sentiment likely to reinforce GBP-bulls pre-FOMC.

　　This Friday, the focus is on German Import Price Index m/m & y/y, French July Consumer Confidence, Swedish June Trade Balance and US July(Final) University of Michigan Confidence index.